My own P&L equity curve serves me as the best indicators, when breakout failed, mostly we are profit taking or range-bound. When short setup failed, most likely still in period of consolidation. But just a summary to what going on now:
Mar- Jul
Breath & Vol goes in hand
Chart formation work best: bullflap, ascending, flat consolidation breakout
Aug - Sep
Vol goes to pennies, high for many stocks achieved.
Short of failed breakout have to wait 1day
Momentum trade for the pennies (which i got to learn, especially those breakout for 2-3days pennies)
Oct -
Where shall it be?
Uptrend line breakdown seem to be slower than flat consolidation breakdown (when it flip it upside down, u get it)
I am working on a set of indicators to determine the market strength on which phase we are in.
1. Z call
2. STI weekly chart - above 10EMA
3. STI component charts - number of stocks above 20EMA
4. Breath of stocks- which i am still thinking how many days should i put
Alright pls comment though i guess most of you will be more interested in what is below:
Shorts:
Capitaland: 3.72 (should at least threaten the previous low at 3.50)
Swiber: 0.92
Kepland: 2.82 (shorted too early, this should be the price)
Olam: 2.50
Ho bee: 1.50
Ezra:1.95
Sembmar: 3.20
Ausgroup: 0.74
First target of STI- 2,580, 2500
by now should know the number besides is the cutloss pt, entry is only useful for determine your risks
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