Consolidating some of the trade setup here.
bull flags,
You want to find a confluence of support at a key moving average (usually the 20 period EMA) and also a Fibonacci retracement, usually the 50% retracement. This will increase your odds of a successful trade, and also allow you to take a potentially larger position as a result of a tighter stop.
RSI system - Bill Cara (mostly for extreme case)
FAs most of you know, my simple RSI system shows Accumulation and Distribution Zones when the RSI-7 is below the 30 line for the Monthly, Weekly and Daily data series and above 70 for the same. But a Buy Alert for a short-term oriented trader is when the Daily RSI-7 pops back up over 30, if confirmed by similar RSI turnabouts in similar stocks. For an intermediate-term oriented trader, there should be a crossing of the 30 line in both Daily and Weekly RSI-7 data, and for a long-term oriented trader, the crossing of the 30 line should happen in the Daily, Weekly and Monthly.
Exuberance trade ( shall name it this way)
1. For counters going panic buy or sell with a set of criteria belows:
- traded out of bollingerband 20 to increase the odds of exuberance
- chart show breakout/down without consolidation especially if early morning trade
- traded above a round figure resistance (for e.g. 2.60) or depth showing mini sellers/buyers for breakout/down respectively.
2. Short/Buy on countertrend with a stop only 2 bids
3. Buyback at depth showing nobody buying or selling
This is a high probabilities trade, risk to reward is thin, 1 to 1. If i have time, i attached a chart to show how it works
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